(wow) Words Of Wonders Level 1668 Answers – Science does not function in isolation from politics and culture. This was no longer seen as the coronavirus pandemic: questions about epidemics, losses, vaccination orders and all disagreements divided the country into different camps. And every thought that one did about the switches, for example, became a way to narrow down their main points.
The pressing issue of the continued high death rate due to Covid has not escaped this. It can be as confusing as any other Covid-19 controversy. Over the past three months, the number of people dying in the UK – that is, the number of people who die compared to the number of people expected to die – has risen steadily. And in the last ten weeks the death rate has increased by more than 15%.
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An argument line appears. On the other hand, there are those who insist that the deaths are somehow related to the Covid vaccine. On the other hand, the statement of the establishment rejects this theory, which means that the rest are related to the effects of the Covid disease, diseases that were not detected due to the closure, and many other difficult things.
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Stuart McDonald, Head of Demographic Assumptions and Methodology at Lloyds Banking Group, sees this division as the root cause of the epidemic in many cases: people jump to assumptions to fulfill their assumptions about the world before asking these questions. What we know very well is that more people die than we can expect: “That is an indisputable fact.
To find out why is a very difficult task. However, if you look at the data, it is clear that some of these deaths are related to other health conditions: “They are often cardiovascular, circulatory, cerebrovascular.”
But the death certificate, McDonald explains, often includes multiple reasons. And these reasons can be difficult to separate from each other. The table above shows that there are 13,155 deaths related in some way to heart failure and “only a few of those caused by Covid were the cause.” But “when we look at chronic respiratory diseases or respiratory diseases, most of the deaths that we see in these two cases can be attributed to Covid.”
Those who care about the long-term effects of vaccines can take strength from this graphic. If we have a strong indication that cardiovascular deaths are very high, and we know that the accepted side effects of the mRNA vaccine are myocarditis and pericarditis, would that be relevant?
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McDonald is not sure. Post-viral heart problems are known and well studied with other viruses. “We have anecdotal evidence of cardiovascular risks that extend beyond recent infections, and we have strong evidence that there is a subgroup of people who have had Covid-19 who may experience cardiovascular risks,” he explained.
Overall, to oppose vaccinations, “data show that those who are fully vaccinated have a lower risk of death than those who are not vaccinated.”
“Vaccines can reduce the risk of many people at the same time and put a small number – a very small number – at increased risk. That's why vaccine trials are carried out. That's why vaccines are very carefully monitored since And there have been changes in opinion about the Vaccines we give to other age groups are based on reports of these complications.
We cannot say 100% that vaccines have an effect on excess mortality. But “there's more to fantasy than that,” says McDonald.
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Some of these are the problems plaguing the NHS. The goal of the ambulance response time is, for example, 18 minutes, in July the waiting time is 59 minutes, In the case of stroke and heart disease, immediate action is the most effective medicine. And then, “if it takes about an hour to get an ambulance to these people, there will unfortunately be a lot of deaths.”
However, that is not what happens today when you respond to an ambulance. The closure itself caused a significant change in behavior among people who went to the hospital.
“Although the lockdown has not prevented people from seeking care legally, it has changed. People are not receiving treatment in hospitals to avoid the risk of getting Covid. And this has consequences: with urgent care, the waiting lists are grew, more than 50% since before the epidemic. Now there are about 6.7 million people on the list.”
It also plays into the statistics. “We expect a number of people to come in every year with medical concerns — tumors, other things that are normally a concern. Those numbers have gone down, and they've gone down a lot, especially during the first lockdown.”
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One of the biggest concerns at the time of the shutdown—especially among those who doubted the practice—was that it could delay the onset of cancer and ultimately increase cancer deaths. It is currently not visible in the data. But McDonald is keen to stress that the fear of dying from cancer was legitimate.
The disruption caused by the medical system as directly affected by Covid and the measures we have taken to reduce the spread of Covid have affected the number of patients diagnosed with cancer that the doctors have been able to reach. “This means worse morbidity and shorter survival for cancer patients who should have been diagnosed a year or two ago,” says McDonald. But it can happen after a long time. The delay of cancer does not affect the current profit, but it is not controversial to say that it will come.
No agreement was reached on grounds that caused concern in the UK. And this makes the entire chapter a fertile ground for traditional warriors. It seems that medical delays are just as important – if not more important. But we are still in the early days of investigating this phenomenon, and far from any certainty.
TDL is a consulting company. Our goal is to translate insights from behavioral research into practical, scalable solutions – leading to better outcomes for everyone.
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The TDL Perspectives project is an ongoing series of interviews with thought leaders engaged in our work to democratize ethics. We choose real information that is at the cutting edge of current trends in the behavioral sciences, be it works that connect our ideas with different industries or theoretical discussions about the contested boundaries of modern research. If you have ideas for this discussion, expertise you'd like to share, or would like to share in any other way, please contact Nathan at nathan@.
Today, Sekoul Krastev, CEO at The Decision Lab, sits down with Nathan to discuss artificial intelligence and the future of human decision-making. We come to the intersection of AI and behavioral science to understand how the decision-making environment changes over time and what can be done to make the world a better place in this way. We outline the different ways people in relevant fields think about human and machine recognition. We then look to the future of technology to understand how these different understandings of decision-making contribute to solutions to existing problems.
Nathan: I have Sekoul with me today and we're going to talk about artificial intelligence and behavioral science. Let's jump in. People often see AI as an alternative to human decision making. People say that artificial intelligence can replace human decision making in some situations, especially if we realize that our decisions are wrong and we avoid making mistakes. Do you see artificial intelligence as a replacement for human decision making?
Sekoul: I think sometimes it can be. Artificial intelligence is a very big word. It ranges from simple statistics to black box algorithms that solve complex problems. So depending on what decision you are trying to make, I think you have several winning options.
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Sekoul: In very simple situations where, for example, you are trying to find out whether an image is a cancer cell or a non-cancerous cell, this is the idea that has already been done by trained experts. And we know that AI is now better than humans at detection
Nathan: What do you think the AI does there that we don't? Is it a matter of getting good access to information? Or just choose the right information? What do you think the difference is?
“It's been shown in experiments that people can [intuit] implicitly, but they can't clearly explain many of these tasks. So AI can do a lot of what we call intuition, which basically fixes a lot of these things.
