(wow) Words Of Wonders Level 1060 Answers – Profit Radar: The Champions, Competitors and Challengers is a direct listing of companies that have delivered increasing profits for at least five years. It contains accurate and up-to-date information on interest rates and their estimated value. FerdiS and I introduced Dividend Radar to the investment community on May 15, 2020, and we continue to release the latest version every Friday. You can find the first two articles in this monthly series here and here.
In this article, I analyze the competitors that have increased their profits for at least five consecutive years. Based on this, AbbVie (NYSE: ABBV ) appears to be a good dividend contender due to its proven track record of performance and ability to outperform the S&P index over the past eight years. ABBV rewards shareholders during that time with attractive dividends and increasing profits. Furthermore, as we will show, ABBV is the only competitor for profit that trades on top of the security.
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To start the process, I used the distribution radar published on September 11 and used the following criteria to filter the list of competitors:
Abbvie: The Best Dividend Growth Challenger In The Margin Of Safety (nyse:abbv)
Out of 332 shares shared, 14 brands made the top list for review. The added value estimate (and calculation) used to define this ticket comes from the Radar distribution method.
As with any list, I always feel that more research is needed. Despite these competitive advantages, I was surprised to learn that 10 of these companies have already suspended their profits. So, I removed these companies to give the final four companies that I will look at in this article. (The “cutting” section will be highlighted in future reports).
Let's compare the performance of these companies based on TTR and profit growth over a period of 1, 3, 5, 10 years:
You'll notice that 3 of these competitors, Cogent Communications (CCOI), MKS Equipment (MKSI), and ResMed (RMD), show a 10-year CAGR and have yet to stop their gains. These companies only started paying dividends in 2011 or later, even though they were previously public companies.
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Figure 1 shows that each company delivered the best 1-, 3- and 5-year returns and outperformed the S&P index. These companies make up the top 20% of dividend paying companies in North America.
Figure 2 shows that both ABBV and CCOI produced double the yield in each period. I find that MKSI and RMD have a very disappointing growth rate.
I usually focus on dividend stocks that reach a certain threshold for growth and profitability (known as the Chowder Number). Adding the current production (Figure 3) to the 5-year CAGR (Figure 2) gives the number of Chowder for each brand evaluated: ABBV (24), CCOI (17), MKSI (4), RMD (8 ). Only ABBV and CCOI reached 9% of the research limit.
Like many investors, I prefer to use multiple tools when evaluating FV. I like to think of FV as the opposite of a point equation. Let's look at one theory of value.
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This is a very good way to discover good value. David Crosetti also provides a practical explanation of how this theory works here.
“The profit margin is simple and attractive. It generally says that blue-chip stocks, meaning those with a stable business model that does not change over time, the dividend yield tends to return to the mean.
In other words, the dividend yield of the stock changes over a fixed period of years and is measured at the best price. If the stock's return is significantly higher than its historical return, then it is more likely. If the yield is below historical levels, the stock is undervalued. “
The concept of Dividend Yield probably makes more sense. Let's do this by plotting the annual dividend yield (blue line) against the five-year average (red line) for ABBV (see chart 4 below). We will mark this chart as profit history. When the annual dividend yield is above 5 years, it indicates that there may be an opportunity to buy the share. When the annual return is below five years (red zone), the fund may be undervalued. Here is the historical chart of ABBV.
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As shown in the chart above, the blue dotted line is the expected annual return. This line shows where the current output is equal to the previous value. Again, the solid red line is the five-year average of the expected return. This line shows how the five-year average yield compares to past prices.
According to figure 4, ABBV's annual dividend yield is 23% higher than its 5-year average yield, indicating that the stock is undervalued. ABBV can offer a procurement opportunity.
Figure 5 shows that CCOI's annual dividend yield is 5% higher than its 5-year average yield, indicating that the stock may be bearish. CCOI was last rated in October 2019. We may have other buying opportunities.
In summary, due to the high profit growth, significant margin of safety and high yield, I have selected ABBV as a top buy opportunity based on other research.
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AbbVie is a global biomedical research company. AbbVie develops and discovers medicines that treat some of the world's most serious diseases. AbbVie's products focus on the treatment of diseases such as chronic autoimmune diseases in orthopedics, gastroenterology and dermatology; oncology, including blood cancer; viruses, including hepatitis C virus (HCV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV); neurological diseases, such as Parkinson's disease; metabolic disorders, including thyroid disease and complications related to cystic fibrosis; pain associated with endometriosis; as well as other serious medical problems. AbbVie also has a pipeline of promising new drugs in clinical development in medical technologies such as immunology, oncology and neuroscience, with increasing investments in cystic fibrosis and women's health.
From the Company's point of view, these are the most important achievements since the acquisition of Abbott Laboratories (ABT) in 2013. By the standards, ABBV's performance was very good.
Figure 7 shows that non-GAAP earnings increased significantly in each of the 1-, 3-, and 5-year periods. Based on analyst estimates, earnings are expected to increase in FY 2020 & FY 2021. The dark blue shading indicates that ABBV is among the top performing companies in North America based on non-GAAP earnings during that period. The past is based on the revenue of 3 – and the CAGR of 5 years. The last year shows that ABBV is performing above average (as shown by the light shade of blue).
The past 3- and 5-year earnings CAGRs have shown above-average performance based on soft shades of blue. Last year's growth reflected the impact of declining revenue from its drug (Humira). We also suspect that the impact of the disaster may cause analysts' estimates to be revised downward in FY 20 and FY 21.
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Free cash flow per share was at a record high. AbbVie has plenty of cash flow from its current products to fund the ongoing discovery and development of future medicines. The May 2020 acquisition of Allergan is expected to significantly increase ABBV's sales and profitability.
Profit Growth CAGRs (in black) show that the company is one of the companies with the highest profit growth in North America. Based on 5-year CAGR, ABBV is in the top 10% of all dividend-paying companies. I expect growth in FY 20 to be 10.28% based on quarterly payments.
Based on the key performance indicators of non-GAAP profit, revenue, earnings per share and profit growth, ABBV provided the results for the highest yielding stocks. Includes the S&P index.
Finally, ABBV has outperformed the S&P index on a total return basis since early January 2013.
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From $10,000 in ABBV vs. SPY, after 7+ years, ABBV increased to $35,377 (i.e. $27,575 for SPY) and generated 17.7% CAGR (i.e. 14.0% for SPY). Aristocrat Dividend's overall stock performance is impressive.
I begin my in-depth research on ABBV by looking at the second method of estimating fair value, using the P/E ratio for the past ten years ending September 2020. In a previous article, I explain how I approach fair value. :
Following Benjamin Graham, I prefer to think about the relative value of the level, not absolute, so I look at how the market has historically valued it. Figure 12 (below) plots ABBV's daily closing price (green line) compared to its “best” price based on its ten-year P/E ratio (grey line) and its “best” price based on its P/E ratio. (dashed line ‘blue'). This chart shows the difference in ABBV's net worth from 2010 to 2022, based on the latest analyst estimates.”
Figure 12 shows the first time I bought ABBV on my account (1). Currently, ABBV trades in a safe sector and represents a great buying opportunity.
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Here are the companies that have recognized ABBV
