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Read Article 8 Minutes to Read Americans Rally for Quarters Honoring Women Joshua McMorrow-Hernandez examines the American Women Quarters series, a multi-year program by the US Mint launched earlier this year and one of the most popular new coins on the block is.
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Read Article 15 minutes Read Peter Anthony Bamboo Bear covers the range of China's endangered wildlife coin program, which features some of the world's most beloved creatures, big and small, including the iconic panda.
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Read Article Read 8 Minute Market Analysis for Premium Free Type 1 Double Eagles Based on Sale Prices Hendricks Douglas Winter dives head first into the results of the landmark April 2022 auction where some of the rarest double eagles fetched spectacular prices. judging in the short term, but quite an efficient weighing machine in the long run. Investors can sometimes generate compelling returns by finding discrepancies between a company's stock performance and the company's profits. In other words, look for breakout stocks where the underlying business remains healthy.
Virtual health company Teladoc Health, Inc. (NYSE: TDOC ) looks like a broken stock right now. The broader market is up 14% over the past six months, while Teladoc is down 28%. This large difference may indicate that something is wrong with Teladoc's business. However, I don't think that's the case. The company is still growing and the Primary360 healthcare system is just getting started. With the stock trading near record lows, Teladoc is a compelling opportunity at current levels.
While the stock price performance is disappointing for investors, Teladoc's actual business continues to grow. Revenue is growing rapidly quarter after quarter. Bears noted that growth in paid members is slowing and how Livongo's (long-term care) business is driving the narrative in operating results.
However, I believe this is an extremely short-sighted view of things. This is for several reasons. Yes, Teladoc experienced a rapid increase in user growth due to Covid. However, Teladoc is maintaining its membership base as we move through the pandemic. The assumption that virtual healthcare is a “fad” is false. The use of telehealth has not only increased for Covid, but it also saves money for the health system (insurers). Financial savings for insurance companies will be the main driver of adoption in the future.
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Meanwhile, a few buttons are pressed to run Teladoc's operational values in the meantime. Teladoc is in the early stages of launching Primary360's long-term product. It is a virtual assistant that personalizes healthcare at the patient level.
Primary360 takes virtual care to the next level and takes Teladoc beyond just a telehealth company that many view as a commodity. Traditionally, patients seek help when a problem is discovered. It is a reaction. With Primary360, healthcare becomes proactive. This leads to earlier diagnosis, better outcomes and greater satisfaction.
For long-term investors, the opportunity ahead is compelling. Teladoc is a large-scale company that operates in both the US and international markets. Although penetration must evolve over time, the basic footprint is there. This gives Teladoc exposure to a simply huge market.
In the United States alone, the virtual health market is a $250 billion industry. This does not even take into account various international markets, both developed and emerging.
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Primary360's extensive network also gives healthcare providers the opportunity to care for patients in ways that a traditional “system” such as mental health does not.
The total market that can be taken worldwide is worth hundreds of billions. Teladoc's 2020 revenue was just over $1 billion, which shows how early we are in this. A system as large and complex as healthcare (especially in the US) takes years (decades?) to develop, which only extends the growth period of a company like Teladoc.
There are several other competitors emerging both in the US and abroad, but the market is so large that there is no winner. Plus, Teladoc's full-stack solution sets it apart from its competitors. The addition of Livongo was and still is key in this development. Therefore, investors will have to be patient to see how Teladoc executes this implementation of Primary360. This is not a question that needs to be answered in quarters, rather years.
Currently, the market is not receptive to Teladoc's efforts, and this has led to price cuts over the past year. The stock is now near a 52-week low of $146 per share.
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Teladoc's enterprise value is $23.3 billion. Or, in other words, almost the value at which Livongo was acquired (the valuation of the transaction was 18.5 billion dollars).
Management projects average annual revenue growth of 30%-40% per year through 2023, which experts say will mean 2023 revenue of around $3.2 billion.
Teladoc is a low-asset company that will improve profitability as the company continues to grow and expand. With the stock currently trading at less than 8x 2023 sales estimates, the market is pricing in what is essentially a complete failure by Teladoc to deliver what it sets out to do. If you have faith in the company launching its Primary360 product, today's stock is compelling.
There may certainly be hurdles and obstacles in the coming years. Healthcare is a large and profitable industry, so Teladoc is sure to see competition down the road, and it will take time for change to occur in this area. However, Teladoc's market position puts its chances of success much higher than the valuation reflects in my opinion, so Teladoc is a compelling opportunity for bullish investors.
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I provide direct insight into stocks and markets using fundamental analysis and common sense. – Bachelor's degree in business administration with a focus on financial analysis. I have been investing and following the markets for over a decade.- Wealth Insights is an investment investor and author. Its contents are not aimed at anyone's specific investment objectives, time horizon or risk tolerance. The content is for informational purposes only and is not intended to replace advice from a fee-based financial advisor. It should not be considered as investment advice or to influence the decision making of investors. Data accuracy is not guaranteed.
Disclosure: I am/we are a long time TDOC. I wrote this article myself and it expresses my own opinions. I receive no compensation for this (other than from Seeking Alpha). I am not in a business relationship with companies whose shares are mentioned in this article.
If you have ad blocking enabled, you can continue. Please disable ad blocker and refresh. Artificial Intelligence Lending Platform Upstart Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) reported Q1 2021 earnings on Tuesday. The company delivered excellent results and followed up the previous quarter with another home run. With strong growth in the business, increased guidance for this year and a strong growth trajectory, I will be adding to my current position after this quarter. I'll highlight the gains below, discuss key points and show the stock's attractive valuation at current levels.
Upstart is a lending platform based on artificial intelligence. Upstart works with banks to help improve efficiency in banks' lending practices. Traditional credit criteria are based on credit scores, using a decades-old system.
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Upstart uses artificial intelligence, automation and data mining to more effectively analyze borrowers' credit risk. As a result, Upstart can fully automate 71% of its loans and can accept more borrowers while maintaining its loss ratio. In other words, Upstart helps banks lend better. Upstart is a new company that will go public with an IPO in December 2020.
Due to Upstart's newness to mainstream markets, we have limited “resources” in the business. The most recent quarter (Q1 2021) was only Upstart's second profit as a public company. The company's first profit (Q4 2020) was an excellent quarter, with revenue well above analysts' estimates.
Parvenit's “headline” numbers were impressive. Revenue for the quarter was $121 million. That was 90% year-over-year growth and beat analysts' expectations of $5.29 million. EPS on a non-GAAP basis was $0.22, which also beat analysts' forecasts of $0.07 per share.
When I look at operational metrics, there are a number of things I look for. We want to see the company grow on a volume basis and we want to see Upstart become increasingly profitable with scale. The quarter showed strong signs of progress in both areas.
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Upstart continues to expand its platform. With Upstart, banks seemed a little distant
